Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner 2026
14 outcomes · Voting day: (in 18 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Iliana Iotova | 79% | ▼17 pts |
| Andrey Gyurov | 3% | 0 pts |
| Nikolai Denkov | 1% | – |
| Rosen Zhelyazkov | 1% | – |
| Boyko Borissov | 1% | – |
| Blagomir Kotsev | 1% | – |
| Yanaki Stoilov | 1% | – |
| Krum Zarkov | 1% | – |
| Delyan Peevski | 1% | – |
| Rosen Plevneliev | 1% | – |
| Vassil Terziev | 1% | – |
| Natalia Kiselova | 1% | 0 pts |
| Atanas Atanasov | <1% | – |
| Kostadin Kostadinov | <1% | – |
- Iliana Iotova 79%
100%50%0%
Sep 24Sep 30Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, October 25, 2026 (in 18 days).
Who is expected to win?
Iliana Iotova, with a market-implied probability of 79%, ahead of Andrey Gyurov at 3%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.