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Trnava Mayoral Election Winner 2026

4 outcomes · Voting day: (in 17 days)

44% chance to win Eva Nemčovská

▲17 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 1Oct 7

42% chance to win Branislav Baroš

▲4 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 1Oct 7

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OutcomeProbability24h change
Eva Nemčovská44%▲2 pts
Branislav Baroš42%▲1 pt
Andrea Čajková7%0 pts
Ľubica Horváthová1%–
  1. Eva Nemčovská 44%
  2. Branislav Baroš 42%
  3. Andrea Čajková 7%
100%50%0%

Sep 1Sep 19Oct 7

Key questions

When is the vote?

Saturday, October 24, 2026 (in 17 days).

Who is expected to win?

Eva Nemčovská, with a market-implied probability of 44%, ahead of Branislav Baroš at 42%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:30 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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