Nigerian Presidential Election Winner 2027

Q: When is the vote?

Saturday, January 16, 2027 (in 101 days).

Q: Who is expected to win?

Bola Tinubu, with a market-implied probability of 72%, ahead of Peter Obi at 24%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.

Q: What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

5 outcomes · Voting day: Sat, Jan 16, 2027 (in 101 days)

72% chance to win Bola Tinubu

▲3 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%

Jun 2026Oct 2026

24% chance to win Peter Obi

▲1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

Jun 2026Oct 2026

Use widget

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Bola Tinubu	72%	–
Peter Obi	24%	–
Omoyele Sowore	1%	–
Rabiu Kwankwaso	<1%	–
Rotimi Amaechi	<1%	–

Bola Tinubu 72%
Peter Obi 24%

100%50%0%

Jun 2026Aug 2026Oct 2026

Key questions

When is the vote?

Saturday, January 16, 2027 (in 101 days).

Who is expected to win?

Bola Tinubu, with a market-implied probability of 72%, ahead of Peter Obi at 24%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

<iframe src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed/nigeria/presidential-election-2027" title="Nigerian Presidential Election Winner" width="100%" height="400" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<script src="https://electiontracker.eu/embed.js" async></script>

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