日本語Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner 2026
4 outcomes · Voting day: (in 11 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Atsumi Harasawa | 61% | ▼3 pts |
| Kazuma Nakatani | 32% | ▲20 pts |
| Yuka Asaka | 5% | – |
| Atsushi Fukuyama | 4% | – |
- Atsumi Harasawa 61%
- Kazuma Nakatani 32%
- Yuka Asaka 5%
100%50%0%
Sep 24Sep 30Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 (in 11 days).
Who is expected to win?
Atsumi Harasawa, with a market-implied probability of 61%, ahead of Kazuma Nakatani at 32%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:42 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.