Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner 2025
6 outcomes · Voting day: (318 days ago) · Use widget
Awaiting the official result. Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”, with a market-implied probability of 30%, ahead of PT at 11%.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” | 30% | – |
| PT | 11% | 0 pts |
| FLING | 5% | 0 pts |
| MUNDO-GB | 4% | 0 pts |
| FREPASNA | 2% | 0 pts |
| PS | 1% | – |
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, November 23, 2025 (318 days ago).
Who is expected to win?
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”, with a market-implied probability of 30%, ahead of PT at 11%. Updated 2026-10-07 17:41 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.