Prime Minister of Greece?

Q: Who is expected to win?

Kyriakos Mitsotakis, with a market-implied probability of 74%, ahead of Alexis Tsipras at 8%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:28 UTC.

Q: What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

11 outcomes · Closes Jul 26, 2027

74% chance Kyriakos Mitsotakis

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

Jul 15Oct 7

8% chance Alexis Tsipras

▼1 pt in 7 days

Probability

50%

Jul 16Oct 7

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Outcome	Probability	24h change
Kyriakos Mitsotakis	74%	▼1 pt
Alexis Tsipras	8%	–
Giannis Antetokounmpo	2%	0 pts
Stefanos Kasselakis	2%	0 pts
Nikos Androulakis	2%	–
Kyriakos Velopoulos	1%	–
Afroditi Latinopoulou	1%	–
Zoe Konstantopoulou	<1%	–
Yanis Varoufakis	<1%	–
Maria Karystianou	<1%	–
Dimitris Koutsoumbas	<1%	–

Kyriakos Mitsotakis 74%
Alexis Tsipras 8%

100%50%0%

Jul 15Aug 26Oct 7

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

Kyriakos Mitsotakis, with a market-implied probability of 74%, ahead of Alexis Tsipras at 8%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:28 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

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