Winnipeg Mayoral Election 2026
11 outcomes · Voting day: (in 21 days)
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Gillingham | 71% | ▲8 pts |
| Kevin Klein | 17% | ▼1 pt |
| Don Woodstock | 8% | ▲3 pts |
| Mazher Alam | 7% | ▼2 pts |
| Joshua Pagdato | <1% | – |
| Michael Vogiatzakis | <1% | 0 pts |
| Zachary Uminski | <1% | – |
| Umar Hayat | <1% | – |
| Noah Redden | <1% | ▼1 pt |
| Christopher Clacio | <1% | – |
| Johnny Calderon | <1% | – |
- Scott Gillingham 71%
- Kevin Klein 17%
- Don Woodstock 8%
100%50%0%
Aug 11Sep 8Oct 7
Key questions
When is the vote?
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 (in 21 days).
Who is expected to win?
Scott Gillingham, with a market-implied probability of 71%, ahead of Kevin Klein at 17%. Updated 2026-10-07 13:52 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

