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Tsao Erh-yuan: Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner 2026?

Q: Tsao Erh-yuan: Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner 2026?

Market-implied probability: 11%, as of 2026-10-07 16:15 UTC. Source: public prediction-market data.

11%Probability

1h change: 0 pts
24h change: ▲2 pts
1w change: ▼4 pts
Voting day: Sat, Nov 28, 2026 (in 52 days)

Other outcomes in this event

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Wang Chung-ming	75%	▼2 pts
Tsao Erh-chang	<1%	–

All 3 outcomes

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