Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner 2026
4 outcomes · Voting day: (in 52 days) · Use widget
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Chen Yu-jen | 96% | ▲1 pt |
| Li Wen-liang | 3% | 0 pts |
| Liang Wen-tao | 2% | ▼1 pt |
| Yang Cheng-wu | <1% | – |
Key questions
When is the vote?
Saturday, November 28, 2026 (in 52 days).
Who is expected to win?
Chen Yu-jen, with a market-implied probability of 96%, ahead of Li Wen-liang at 3%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.