Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner 2026

5 outcomes · Voting day: Sat, Nov 28, 2026 (in 52 days) · Use widget

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Yu Shu-chen	82%	–
Wei Chia-hsien	13%	▼1 pt
Chang Chun	5%	0 pts
Yeh Yao-hui	4%	0 pts
Lo Pei-chin	1%	–

Key questions

When is the vote?

Saturday, November 28, 2026 (in 52 days).

Who is expected to win?

Yu Shu-chen, with a market-implied probability of 82%, ahead of Wei Chia-hsien at 13%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Hualien County Magistrate Election 2026: Yu Shu-chen, with a market-implied probability of 82%, ahead of Wei Chia-hsien at 13%. Source: electiontracker.eu, October 7, 2026