Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner 2026
4 outcomes · Voting day: (in 52 days) · Use widget
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Cheng Chao-fang | 61% | ▲5 pts |
| Hsu Hsin-ying | 32% | ▲1 pt |
| Lin Szu-ming | <1% | 0 pts |
| Chen Chien-hsien | <1% | – |
Key questions
When is the vote?
Saturday, November 28, 2026 (in 52 days).
Who is expected to win?
Cheng Chao-fang, with a market-implied probability of 61%, ahead of Hsu Hsin-ying at 32%. Updated 2026-10-07 15:35 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.