Israeli Minister of Interior?
18 outcomes · Voting day: (in 20 days) · Use widget
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 37% | ▲3 pts |
| Yoav Ben-Tzur | 25% | ▲12 pts |
| Michael Malchieli | 20% | ▲8 pts |
| Aryeh Deri | 10% | ▼2 pts |
| Israel Katz | 9% | ▼1 pt |
| Yariv Levin | 6% | ▼2 pts |
| Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper) | 6% | ▼1 pt |
| Miri Regev | 5% | 0 pts |
| Oded Forer | 5% | ▼13 pts |
| Yoram Cohen | 5% | ▼13 pts |
| Keren Terner Eyal | 5% | ▼3 pts |
| Meirav Cohen | 5% | ▼1 pt |
| Orit Farkash-Hacohen | 5% | ▼2 pts |
| Yair Golan | 5% | ▼1 pt |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 5% | ▼3 pts |
| Ayelet Shaked | 4% | – |
| Eli Cohen | 2% | – |
| Moshe Arbel | 2% | – |
Key questions
When is the vote?
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 (in 20 days).
Who is expected to win?
No Next Minister by Feb 28, with a market-implied probability of 37%, ahead of Yoav Ben-Tzur at 25%. Updated 2026-10-07 17:41 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.