Gambia Presidential Election Winner 2026

7 outcomes · Voting day: Sat, Dec 5, 2026 (in 59 days) · Use widget

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Adama Barrow	72%	▲1 pt
Ousainou Darboe	20%	▲4 pts
Bakary K. Badjie	10%	▲1 pt
Talib Ahmed Bensouda	9%	▼2 pts
Mohamed Al Amin Bah	5%	0 pts
Essa Faal	4%	0 pts
Mama Kandeh	1%	0 pts

Key questions

When is the vote?

Saturday, December 5, 2026 (in 59 days).

Who is expected to win?

Adama Barrow, with a market-implied probability of 72%, ahead of Ousainou Darboe at 20%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:36 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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Gambia Presidential Election 2026: Adama Barrow, with a market-implied probability of 72%, ahead of Ousainou Darboe at 20%. Source: electiontracker.eu, October 7, 2026