2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe

4 outcomes · Closes Apr 18, 2027 · Use widget

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Édouard Philippe	80%	▲1 pt
Gabriel Attal	15%	▲1 pt
Both	6%	–
Neither	2%	▲2 pts

Key questions

Who is expected to win?

Édouard Philippe, with a market-implied probability of 80%, ahead of Gabriel Attal at 15%. Updated 2026-10-07 16:36 UTC.

What do these percentages mean?

The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

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2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe – Édouard Philippe, with a market-implied probability of 80%, ahead of Gabriel Attal at 15%. Source: electiontracker.eu, October 7, 2026