Which party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?
11 outcomes · Voting day: (in 144 days) · Use widget
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Nuevas Ideas (NI) | 80% | ▲11 pts |
| PCN | 4% | – |
| ARENA | 3% | – |
| PDC | 1% | – |
| Vamos | 1% | – |
| FMLN | 1% | – |
| Salvadoran Democracy (DS) | 1% | – |
| FPS | 1% | – |
| GANA | <1% | – |
| PAIS | <1% | 0 pts |
| Solidary Force (FS) | <1% | 0 pts |
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, February 28, 2027 (in 144 days).
Who is expected to win?
Nuevas Ideas (NI), with a market-implied probability of 80%, ahead of PCN at 4%. Updated 2026-10-07 17:41 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.