El Salvador Presidential Election Winner 2027
5 outcomes · Voting day: (in 144 days) · Use widget
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Nayib Bukele | 97% | – |
| Orlando del Cid | 2% | ▲2 pts |
| Alirio García Flamenco | 1% | 0 pts |
| Mayteé Iraheta | 1% | – |
| Rafael Aguirre | 1% | ▲1 pt |
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, February 28, 2027 (in 144 days).
Who is expected to win?
Nayib Bukele, with a market-implied probability of 97%, ahead of Orlando del Cid at 2%. Updated 2026-10-07 17:41 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.