B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner 2027
8 outcomes · Closes · Use widget
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Caroline Elliott | 33% | ▲7 pts |
| Yuri Fulmer | 24% | ▲3 pts |
| Aaron Gunn | 20% | – |
| Sheldon Clare | 13% | ▼8 pts |
| Chip Wilson | 12% | ▼1 pt |
| Iain Black | 10% | ▲1 pt |
| Claire Rattée | 6% | ▲1 pt |
| Stockwell Day | 5% | – |
Key questions
Who is expected to win?
Caroline Elliott, with a market-implied probability of 33%, ahead of Yuri Fulmer at 24%. Updated 2026-10-07 14:33 UTC.
What do these percentages mean?
The percentages on electiontracker.eu are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.