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Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
8%Probability
- 1h change
- –
- 24h change
- –
- 1w change
- –
- Closes
- Not Extended & Republican Party 8%
100%50%0%
Dec 2025May 2026Oct 2026
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Not Extended & Democratic Party | 92% | – |
| Extended & Democratic Party Resolved | 0% | – |
| Extended & Republican Party Resolved | 0% | – |