EN
Election Tracker

Market-implied probabilities for elections around the world. Election widgets for newsrooms →

United Kingdom elections 2027: predictions

  1. Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner
    Sagal Abdi-Wali 84% 24h change: ▼3

    84% Sagal Abdi-Wali

    ▼3 pts in 7 days

    Probability

    50%
    Sep 2Oct 2

    15% Zack Polanski

    ▲2 pts in 7 days

    Probability

    50%
    Sep 3Oct 2

    All 6 outcomes

Jul 29 – Aug 27, 2027