US Midterms 2026: who will win?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 38 days to go
Democrats are favoured to take both chambers from the Republicans.
Senate

63% chance Democrats take control
▲2% in 7 days
Democrats’ probability of control
50%
House

93% chance Democrats take control
▲2% in 7 days
Democrats’ probability of control
50%
Polls close Nov 3, 23:00 – Nov 4, 06:00 GMT
PAM Winner

Result
- Authenticity and Modernity Party 27.3%
- National Rally of Independents 16.4%
- Istiqlal Party 19.3%
- Justice and Development Party 18.7%
- Popular Movement 8.9%
- Socialist Union of Popular Forces 8.5%
- New Democrats Party 0.6%
- Moroccan Union for Democracy 0.3%
Pam Alexis 5%

Neutrality initiative 2%

AS 95%
Flavio Bolsonaro 92%

Other outcomes in this event
- Ronaldo Caiado 7%
- Lula 1%
- Clariana Barao <1%
- Edmilson Costa <1%
- Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
- Hertz Dias <1%
- Pablo Marçal <1%
- Renan Santos <1%
- Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
- Samara <1%
- Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
- Zema <1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 94%

Other outcomes in this event
- Lula 8%
- Renan Santos 1%
- Veterinário Wilson Grassi 1%
- Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
- Pablo Marçal <1%
- Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
- Samara <1%
- Zema <1%
- Clariana Barao <1%
- Edmilson Costa <1%
- Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas 42%

Other outcomes in this event
Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi 32%

Other outcomes in this event
PQ 94%
Zac de Vries 57%














