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Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?
1%Probability
- 1h change
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- 24h change
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- 1w change
- 0%
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Flavio Bolsonaro | 91% | ▼2% |
| Lula | 8% | – |
| Renan Santos | 1% | – |
| Escritor Augusto Cury | <1% | 0% |
| Hertz Dias | <1% | – |
| Pablo Marçal | <1% | – |
| Rui Costa Pimenta | <1% | 0% |
| Samara | <1% | 0% |
| Clariana Barao | <1% | – |
| Edmilson Costa | <1% | – |
| Ronaldo Caiado | <1% | 0% |
| Zema | <1% | 0% |
Resolution criteria
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).