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Election Tracker

Market-implied probabilities for elections around the world. Election widgets for newsrooms →

Serbia elections 2026: predictions

  1. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
    Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 67% 24h change: ▲2

    67% Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

    ▲8 pts in 7 days

    Probability

    50%
    Sep 23Oct 2

    35% Student List – Students Win

    ▼6 pts in 7 days

    Probability

    50%
    Sep 22Oct 2

    All 4 outcomes

  1. Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
    Aleksandar Vučić 69% 24h change: ▲3

    69% Aleksandar Vučić

    ▲11 pts in 7 days

    Probability

    50%
    Sep 17Oct 2

    24% Ilija Srdanović

    ▲1 pt in 7 days

    Probability

    50%
    Sep 16Oct 2

    All 10 outcomes

Apr 30 – May 29, 2027