Election Tracker

Market-implied probabilities for elections around the world. Election widgets for newsrooms →

Home › United States › ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

Will ACA premium tax credits be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

0%Probability

Closes

This market has closed. The figures above are its final state.

Other outcomes in this event

OutcomeProbability24h change
Not Extended & Democratic Party92%–
Not Extended & Republican Party8%–
Extended & Republican Party Resolved0%–

All 4 outcomes

Related races

  1. Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Democrats Sweep 64%
  2. Which party will win the House in 2026? Democratic Party 93%
  3. Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Democratic Party 65%
  4. Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? Florida 98%
  5. Next Senate Majority Leader? Chuck Schumer 44%
Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

Preview

More widgets and options for newsrooms →