ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
4 outcomes · Closes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Not Extended & Democratic Party | 92% | – |
| Not Extended & Republican Party | 8% | – |
| Extended & Democratic Party Resolved | 0% | – |
| Extended & Republican Party Resolved | 0% | – |
- Not Extended & Democratic Party 92%
- Not Extended & Republican Party 8%
100%50%0%
Dec 2025May 2026Oct 2026
Key questions
Who is expected to win?
Not Extended & Democratic Party, with a market-implied probability of 92%, ahead of Not Extended & Republican Party at 8%.
What do these percentages mean?
They are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.