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Election Tracker

Market-implied probabilities for elections around the world. Election widgets for newsrooms →

Nigeria elections 2027: predictions

  1. Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
    Bola Tinubu 71% 24h change: ▲2

    71% Bola Tinubu

    ▲3 pts in 7 days

    Probability

    50%
    Jun 2026Oct 2026

    24% Peter Obi

    ▼1 pt in 7 days

    Probability

    50%
    Jun 2026Oct 2026

    All 5 outcomes