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Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
69%Probability
- 1h change
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- 24h change
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- 1w change
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- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Peter Obi | 24% | – |
| Omoyele Sowore | 1% | 0% |
| Rabiu Kwankwaso | <1% | – |
| Rotimi Amaechi | <1% | – |
Resolution criteria
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).