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Will Marine Le Pen be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?

Q: Will Marine Le Pen be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?

Market-implied probability: 3%, as of 2026-10-02 17:10 UTC. Source: public prediction-market data.

3%Probability

1h change: 0 pts
24h change: ▲2 pts
1w change: ▲2 pts
Closes: Jan 1, 2027

Marine Le Pen 3%

100%50%0%

Jul 9Aug 20Oct 2

Other outcomes in this event

Outcome	Probability	24h change
Jordan Bardella	95%	▼2 pts
David Rachline	3%	▲2 pts
Jean-Philippe Tanguy	1%	–
Louis Aliot	1%	0 pts
Sébastien Chenu	1%	0 pts
Hélène Laporte	1%	0 pts
Laurent Jacobelli	1%	–

All 8 outcomes

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Will Marine Le Pen be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?

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