Next President of the National Rally in 2026?
8 outcomes · Closes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bardella | 95% | 0 pts |
| David Rachline | 3% | 0 pts |
| Marine Le Pen | 3% | 0 pts |
| Jean-Philippe Tanguy | 1% | – |
| Louis Aliot | 1% | – |
| Sébastien Chenu | 1% | 0 pts |
| Hélène Laporte | 1% | 0 pts |
| Laurent Jacobelli | 1% | 0 pts |
- Jordan Bardella 95%
100%50%0%
Jul 9Aug 20Oct 2
Key questions
Who is expected to win?
Jordan Bardella, with a market-implied probability of 95%, ahead of David Rachline at 3%.
What do these percentages mean?
They are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.