Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner 2026
6 outcomes · Voting day: (in 55 days) · Use widget
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Lai Jui-lung | 61% | ▲9 pts |
| Ko Chih-en | 40% | ▼9 pts |
| Hsu Chih-chieh | <1% | – |
| Lin Tai-hua | <1% | – |
| Chiu Yi-ying | <1% | – |
| Chang Ching | <1% | – |
- Lai Jui-lung 61%
- Ko Chih-en 40%
100%50%0%
Aug 15Sep 9Oct 4
Key questions
When is the vote?
Saturday, November 28, 2026 (in 55 days).
Who is expected to win?
Lai Jui-lung, with a market-implied probability of 61%, ahead of Ko Chih-en at 40%.
What do these percentages mean?
They are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.