Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner

Sat, Nov 28 · in 55 days

Market-implied probability: What do these percentages mean?

They are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

How to read these numbers →

62% chance to win Lai Jui-lung

▼13 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 15Oct 4

36% chance to win Ko Chih-en

▲9 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 16Oct 4