Cusco Mayoral Election Winner 2026
14 outcomes · Voting day: (today) · Use widget
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriela Paliza Romero | 39% | ▲32 pts |
| Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar | 36% | ▼10 pts |
| William Peña Farfán | 13% | ▼2 pts |
| Eulogio Tapia Deza | 13% | ▲1 pt |
| Iván Hurtado Villafuerte | 12% | ▲4 pts |
| Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez | 11% | ▲5 pts |
| Sergio Sullca Condori | 10% | ▼4 pts |
| Federico Huamán Tapara | 5% | ▲1 pt |
| Jesyka Guevara Villanueva | 4% | 0 pts |
| Jorge Luis Segura Ttito | 3% | 0 pts |
| Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano | 2% | 0 pts |
| Eduardo Zans Loayza | 2% | 0 pts |
| Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla | 1% | 0 pts |
| Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres | <1% | – |
- Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar 36%
- William Peña Farfán 13%
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Aug 13Sep 8Oct 4
Key questions
When is the vote?
Sunday, October 4, 2026 (today).
Who is expected to win?
Gabriela Paliza Romero, with a market-implied probability of 39%, ahead of Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar at 36%.
What do these percentages mean?
They are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.