Sunday, September 20

1. Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

   Yes/No Final

   

Thursday, September 24

1. Morocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner

   PAM Winner

   

   Result

   1. Authenticity and Modernity Party 22.1%
   2. National Rally of Independents 13.3%
   3. Istiqlal Party 15.7%
   4. Justice and Development Party 15.2%
   5. Popular Movement 7.2%
   6. Socialist Union of Popular Forces 6.9%
   7. Party of Progress and Socialism 5.0%
   8. Constitutional Union 4.6%
   9. Democratic and Social Movement 3.2%
   10. Left Alliance 2.9%
   11. Front of Democratic Forces 0.9%
   12. Equity Party 0.5%
   13. New Democrats Party 0.5%
   14. Unity and Democracy Party 0.1%
   15. Social Centre Party 0.1%
   16. Environment and Sustainable Development Party 0.3%
   17. Hope Party 0.1%
   18. Moroccan Liberal Party 0.3%
   19. Moroccan Greens Party 0.1%
   20. Democratic Independence Party 0.1%
   21. Party of Liberty and Social Justice 0.2%
   22. Action Party 0.1%
   23. Reform and Development Party 0.0%
   24. Renaissance Party 0.1%
   25. Democratic Society Party 0.0%
   26. National Democratic Party 0.3%
   27. Moroccan Union for Democracy 0.3%

   All 8 outcomes · Source: Wikipedia

Saturday, September 26

1. Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

   Pam Alexis 5%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Kerry-Lynne Findlay 2%
   2. Lakhwinder Jhaj 1%

   All 3 outcomes

Sunday, September 27

1. Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

   Neutrality initiative 2%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Food initiative 2%

   All 2 outcomes

Sunday, October 4

1. Brazil Presidential Election

   Flávio Bolsonaro 56%

   

   56% Flávio Bolsonaro

   ▼1% in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   

   44% Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

   ▲3% in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   All 19 outcomes

2. Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

   AS 93%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. SV 3%
   2. LPV 2%
   3. PRO 1%
   4. NA <1%
   5. ST! <1%
   6. ZZS <1%
   7. JV <1%
   8. S <1%

   All 9 outcomes

3. Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

   Flavio Bolsonaro 98%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 97%
   2. Renan Santos 1%
   3. Romeu Zema 1%
   4. Michelle Bolsonaro 1%
   5. Jair Bolsonaro 1%
   6. Tarcisio de Frietas 1%
   7. Fernando Haddad <1%

   All 8 outcomes

Monday, October 5

1. Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

   Lula 73%

   

   73% Lula

   Probability

   50%

   

   26% Flavio Bolsonaro

   ▼3% in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   All 6 outcomes

2. Lima Mayoral Election Winner

   Rafael López Aliaga 77%

   

   77% Rafael López Aliaga

   ▼1% in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   

   16% Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca

   ▲1% in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   All 23 outcomes

3. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás

   Flavio Bolsonaro 92%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Ronaldo Caiado 7%
   2. Lula 1%
   3. Clariana Barao <1%
   4. Edmilson Costa <1%
   5. Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
   6. Hertz Dias <1%
   7. Pablo Marçal <1%
   8. Renan Santos <1%
   9. Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
   10. Samara <1%
   11. Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
   12. Zema <1%

   All 13 outcomes

4. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

   Flavio Bolsonaro 94%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Lula 8%
   2. Pablo Marçal <1%

   All 3 outcomes

5. Chiclayo Mayoral Election Winner

   Elber Requejo Sánchez 46%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez 33%
   2. Duber Alberto Fernández Silva 6%
   3. César Aurelio Rodríguez Valderrama 6%
   4. Félix Orlando Gamarra Reyes 5%
   5. Carlos Augusto Peña Reluz 5%
   6. José Francisco Gálvez Tineo 3%
   7. Luis Felipe Romero Peña <1%
   8. Nilton Emilio Chafloque Córdova <1%

   All 9 outcomes

6. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

   Flavio Bolsonaro 91%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Lula 8%
   2. Renan Santos 1%
   3. Veterinário Wilson Grassi 1%
   4. Escritor Augusto Cury 1%
   5. Zema <1%
   6. Pablo Marçal <1%
   7. Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
   8. Samara <1%
   9. Clariana Barao <1%
   10. Edmilson Costa <1%
   11. Ronaldo Caiado <1%

   All 12 outcomes

7. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

   PL 92%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. MDB 2%
   2. UNIÃO 1%
   3. PODEMOS 1%
   4. NOVO <1%
   5. PSDB <1%
   6. PP <1%
   7. PDT <1%
   8. REPUBLICANOS <1%
   9. PSD <1%
   10. PT <1%
   11. PSB <1%

   All 12 outcomes

8. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo

   Flavio Bolsonaro 97%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Lula 2%
   2. Renan Santos <1%
   3. Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
   4. Pablo Marçal <1%

   All 5 outcomes

9. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

   Lula 62%

   

   62% Lula

   ▲20% in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   

   39% Flavio Bolsonaro

   ▲7% in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   All 4 outcomes

10. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro

    Flavio Bolsonaro 93%

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Lula 7%
    2. Pablo Marçal <1%

    All 3 outcomes

11. Trujillo Mayoral Election Winner

    Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas 42%

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez 34%
    2. Víctor Julio León Álvarez 19%
    3. Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera 7%
    4. Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera 2%
    5. Carlos Enrique Alva Rojas <1%

    All 6 outcomes

12. Huancayo Mayoral Election Winner

    Emerson Nolasco Delgado 37%

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Rony Paolo Vejarano Pérez 22%

    All 2 outcomes

13. Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

    PL 66%

    

    66% PL

    ▲5% in 7 days

    Probability

    50%

    

    34% UPB

    ▼6% in 7 days

    Probability

    50%

    All 15 outcomes

14. Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

    PL 91%

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. MDB 3%
    2. PT 3%
    3. UNIÃO 1%
    4. PDT 1%
    5. NOVO 1%
    6. PP 1%
    7. PSD <1%
    8. PSDB <1%
    9. PSB <1%
    10. PODEMOS <1%

    All 11 outcomes

15. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

    Lula 70%

    

    70% Lula

    ▲1% in 7 days

    Probability

    50%

    

    32% Flavio Bolsonaro

    ▲3% in 7 days

    Probability

    50%

    All 3 outcomes

16. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins

    Flavio Bolsonaro 53%

    

    53% Flavio Bolsonaro

    ▼9% in 7 days

    Probability

    50%

    

    46% Lula

    ▲5% in 7 days

    Probability

    50%

    All 3 outcomes

17. Piura Mayoral Election Winner

    Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán 38%

    

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi 32%
    2. Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño 1%

    All 3 outcomes

18. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba

    Lula 99%

    

Tuesday, October 6

1. Quebec General Election Winner

   PQ 94%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. CAQ 4%
   2. PLQ 2%
   3. PCQ 1%
   4. PVQ <1%
   5. QS <1%

   All 6 outcomes

Sunday, October 18

1. Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

   Pete Fry 67%

   

   67% Pete Fry

   ▲2% in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   

   31% Ken Sim

   ▲3% in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   All 13 outcomes

2. Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner

   Zac de Vries 61%

   

   Other outcomes in this event

   1. Karen Harper 24%
   2. Rishi Sharma 9%

   All 3 outcomes

3. Surrey Mayoral Election

   Brenda Locke 75%

   

   75% Brenda Locke

   ▼4% in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   

   17% Linda Annis

   ▼6% in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   All 6 outcomes

Saturday, October 24

1. Next Premier of British Columbia

   David Eby 50%

   

   50% David Eby

   Probability

   50%

   

   50% Lorne Doerkson

   Probability

   50%

   All 5 outcomes

Sunday, October 25

1. Bulgaria Presidential Election

   Iliana Iotova 80%

   

   80% Iliana Iotova

   ▲5% in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   

   17% Аndrey Gyurov

   ▼9% in 7 days

   Probability

   50%

   All 14 outcomes

2. Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

   Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 64%

   

   64% Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

   Probability

   50%

   35% Student List – Students Win

   Probability

   50%

   All 4 outcomes