Home › Elections › Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
31%Probability
- 1h change
- ▼1%
- 24h change
- ▼1%
- 1w change
- ▲3%
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Fry | 67% | ▲4% |
| William Azaroff | 2% | ▲2% |
| Colleen Hardwick | 1% | 0% |
| John Coupar | 1% | ▼1% |
| Kareem Allam | 1% | ▼4% |
| Amanda Burrows | 1% | 0% |
| Rebecca Bligh | 1% | 0% |
| Kirk LaPointe | <1% | 0% |
| Sean Orr | <1% | 0% |
| Tim Louis | <1% | – |
| Fred Harding | <1% | ▼1% |
| Stephanie Allen | <1% | – |
Resolution criteria
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.