Live probabilities

  1. Sorin Grindeanu 32%
  2. No Next Chancellor before 2028 54%
    No Next Chancellor before 2028

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. Hendrik Wüst 17%
    2. Markus Söder 16%

    All 3 outcomes

  3. USR 63%
  4. Independent/Technocrat 44%
    Independent/Technocrat

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. PSD 42%
    2. PNL 7%
    3. AUR 3%
    4. USR <1%
    5. UDMR <1%

    All 6 outcomes

  5. Andy Beshear 90%
  6. National + ACT + NZF 45%
  7. Kyriakos Mitsotakis 75%
  8. Other 11%
    Other

    Other outcomes in this event

    1. USR 1%

    All 2 outcomes

Mar 20 – Apr 18, 2028