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Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
<1%Probability
- 1h change
- –
- 24h change
- –
- 1w change
- 0%
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Sorin Grindeanu | 31% | ▼1% |
| Alexandru Nazare | 28% | 0% |
| Siegfried Mureșan | 9% | ▼3% |
| Alexandru Rogobete | 4% | ▼1% |
| Eugen Tomac | 3% | ▼3% |
| Ilie Bolojan | 3% | ▼1% |
| Radu Burnete | 2% | – |
| Cătălin Predoiu | 1% | 0% |
| Șerban Matei | 1% | – |
| Victor Ponta | 1% | 0% |
| George Simion | 1% | – |
| Dan Motreanu | <1% | 0% |
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.