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Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
<1%Probability
- 1h change
- –
- 24h change
- –
- 1w change
- 0%
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 19% | 0% |
| Gavin Newsom | 16% | 0% |
| Jon Ossoff | 15% | 0% |
| Kamala Harris | 6% | – |
| Josh Shapiro | 6% | – |
| Pete Buttigieg | 5% | 0% |
| Mark Kelly | 3% | 0% |
| Andy Beshear | 3% | – |
| James Talarico | 2% | – |
| Rahm Emanuel | 2% | 0% |
| Wes Moore | 2% | 0% |
| J.B. Pritzker | 1% | – |
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.