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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

53 outcomes · Closes

OutcomeProbability24h change
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez19%0%
Gavin Newsom16%0%
Jon Ossoff15%0%
Kamala Harris6%–
Josh Shapiro6%–
Pete Buttigieg5%0%
Mark Kelly3%0%
Andy Beshear3%–
James Talarico2%–
Rahm Emanuel2%0%
Wes Moore2%0%
J.B. Pritzker1%–
Ro Khanna1%–
Jon Stewart1%▲1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%–
Gretchen Whitmer1%–
Chelsea Clinton1%0%
Cory Booker1%0%
Raphael Warnock1%–
Hunter Biden1%–
Bernie Sanders<1%–
Mark Cuban<1%–
Chris Murphy<1%–
Hillary Clinton<1%0%
Michelle Obama<1%–
Mitch Landrieu<1%–
Chris Van Hollen<1%–
Elissa Slotkin<1%–
Josh Stein<1%–
Zohran Mamdani<1%–
Abigail Spanberger<1%–
Stephen A. Smith<1%–
Jared Polis<1%–
Barack Obama<1%–
Phil Murphy<1%–
Ruben Gallego<1%–
Gina Raimondo<1%–
Roy Cooper<1%–
Jasmine Crockett<1%–
Hakeem Jeffries<1%–
Tim Walz<1%–
John Fetterman<1%–
George Clooney<1%–
LeBron James<1%–
Oprah Winfrey<1%–
Andrew Yang<1%–
MrBeast<1%–
Liz Cheney<1%–
Adam Schiff<1%–
Alex Padilla<1%–
Beto O’Rourke<1%–
Graham Platner<1%–
Kim Kardashian<1%–
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · Last 7 days · low 18% · high 19%

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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