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Will Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
3%Probability
- 1h change
- 0%
- 24h change
- 0%
- 1w change
- 0%
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 11% | – |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 8% | ▼3% |
| Rahm Emanuel | 6% | ▲2% |
| Andy Beshear | 6% | 0% |
| Elissa Slotkin | 6% | – |
| Raphael Warnock | 5% | 0% |
| Josh Shapiro | 5% | 0% |
| Pete Buttigieg | 5% | – |
| Phil Murphy | 5% | 0% |
| James Talarico | 5% | 0% |
| Roy Cooper | 5% | ▲1% |
| Zohran Mamdani | 5% | 0% |
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.