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Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
<1%Probability
- 1h change
- –
- 24h change
- –
- 1w change
- 0%
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Abiy Ahmed | 97% | ▲1% |
| Demeke Mekonnen | 1% | 0% |
| Gedion Timothewos | 1% | – |
| Shimelis Abdisa | 1% | 0% |
| Belete Molla | 1% | 0% |
| Alesa Mengesha | 1% | – |
| Berhanu Nega | <1% | 0% |
Resolution criteria
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.