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Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027?
5%Probability
- 1h change
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- 24h change
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- 1w change
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- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 16% | ▲6% |
| Gavin Newsom | 14% | – |
| Pete Buttigieg | 13% | ▲2% |
| Raphael Warnock | 10% | ▲3% |
| Stephen A. Smith | 8% | – |
| Glenn Youngkin | 7% | – |
| J.D. Vance | 7% | 0% |
| Ron DeSantis | 7% | 0% |
| Nikki Haley | 7% | ▲2% |
| Cory Booker | 7% | 0% |
| Rahm Emanuel | 7% | 0% |
| Don Lemon | 7% | – |
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.