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Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
11%Probability
- 1h change
- –
- 24h change
- 0%
- 1w change
- ▲5%
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Andersson | 86% | ▼1% |
| Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist | 1% | 0% |
| Ebba Busch | 1% | 0% |
| Jimmie Åkesson | <1% | 0% |
| Amanda Lind | <1% | – |
| Anna-Karin Hatt | <1% | – |
| Daniel Helldén | <1% | – |
| Nooshi Dadgostar | <1% | – |
| Simona Mohamsson | <1% | – |
Resolution criteria
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.