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Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3%Probability
- 1h change
- –
- 24h change
- 0%
- 1w change
- 0%
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 51% | – |
| Marco Rubio | 16% | – |
| Ron DeSantis | 3% | 0% |
| Donald Trump | 2% | – |
| Ted Cruz | 2% | – |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 2% | – |
| Ivanka Trump | 1% | – |
| Thomas Massie | 1% | 0% |
| Tulsi Gabbard | <1% | 0% |
| Glenn Youngkin | <1% | – |
| Pete Hegseth | <1% | – |
| Josh Hawley | <1% | – |
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.