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Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
<1%Probability
- 1h change
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- 24h change
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- 1w change
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- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Paul St-Pierre Plamondon | 94% | ▲1% |
| Christine Fréchette | 4% | 0% |
| Charles Milliard | 2% | 0% |
| Bernard Drainville | <1% | – |
| Éric Duhaime | <1% | – |
| Sol Zanetti | <1% | – |
Resolution criteria
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.