Live probabilities

Home › Elections › Morocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner

Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?

0%Probability

1h change
–
24h change
▼4%
1w change
▼15%
Closes
Last 7 days · low <1% · high 18%

This market has closed. The figures above are its final state.

Other outcomes in this event

OutcomeProbability24h change
PAM Resolved100%▲9%
PJD Resolved0%▼4%
PI Resolved0%▼3%
MP Resolved0%0%
PPS Resolved0%0%
UC Resolved0%0%
USFP Resolved0%▼1%

All 8 outcomes

Resolution criteria

Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

Preview