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Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
19%Probability
- 1h change
- ▼3%
- 24h change
- ▲1%
- 1w change
- ▲4%
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Chiang Wan-an | 82% | – |
| Kuo Hsi | <1% | – |
Resolution criteria
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).