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Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
<1%Probability
- 1h change
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- 24h change
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- 1w change
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- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Olivia Chow | 88% | – |
| Brad Bradford | 12% | – |
| Anthony Furey | <1% | – |
| John Tory | <1% | – |
| Marco Mendicino | <1% | – |
| Ana Bailão | <1% | 0% |
| Kevin Clarke | <1% | – |
Resolution criteria
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.