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Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
44%Probability
- 1h change
- –
- 24h change
- –
- 1w change
- ▼19%
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Nithya Raman | 58% | ▲1% |
| Adam Miller Resolved | 0% | – |
| Asaad Alnajjar Resolved | 0% | – |
| Austin Beutner Resolved | 0% | – |
| Gina Viola Resolved | 0% | – |
| Lindsey Horvath Resolved | 0% | – |
| Monica Rodriguez Resolved | 0% | – |
| Rae Huang Resolved | 0% | – |
| Rick Caruso Resolved | 0% | – |
| Spencer Pratt Resolved | 0% | ▼1% |
Resolution criteria
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.