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Will Janine Lélis win the Cape Verde presidential election?
2%Probability
- 1h change
- –
- 24h change
- 0%
- 1w change
- ▼1%
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| José Maria Neves | 79% | ▼3% |
| Joana Rosa | 6% | ▲1% |
| Casimiro de Pina | 3% | 0% |
| Péricles Tavares | 1% | – |
| Milton Paiva | 1% | 0% |
| Fernando Delgado | <1% | 0% |
Resolution criteria
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).