Live probabilities

Home › Europe › Next President of Estonia?

Will Hannes Hanso be the next President of Estonia?

<1%Probability

1h change
–
24h change
–
1w change
0%
Closes

Other outcomes in this event

OutcomeProbability24h change
Ülle Madise98%0%
Indrek Laul1%–
Riho Ühtegi<1%–
Indrek Tarand<1%–
Mart Helme<1%–
Maive Rute<1%–
Jonatan Vseviov<1%–
Riina Kionka<1%–

All 9 outcomes

Resolution criteria

Estonia is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on September 2, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Estonia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Embed this widget

Paste this code into an article or page. The widget updates by itself: the market-implied probability before the vote, live on election night, then the official result.

Preview