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Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
13%Probability
- 1h change
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- 24h change
- –
- 1w change
- –
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Giorgia Meloni | 53% | ▲2% |
| Elly Schlein | 15% | – |
| Roberto Vannacci | 9% | 0% |
| Silvia Salis | 8% | – |
| Mario Draghi | 1% | 0% |
| Matteo Salvini | 1% | – |
| Matteo Renzi | 1% | 0% |
| Angelo Bonelli | <1% | 0% |
| Carlo Calenda | <1% | 0% |
| Antonio Tajani | <1% | – |
| Guido Crosetto | <1% | 0% |
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.